EURUSD Movement
For the 24 hours to 23:00 GMT, the EUR declined 0.76% against the USD and closed at 1.1849.
On the macro front, Euro-zone’s consumer price index climbed 0.4% on a yearly basis in July, compared to a rise of 0.3% in the prior month. The preliminary figures had recorded a rise of 0.4%. Additionally, current account surplus widened to €20.7 billion in June, compared to a surplus of €11.3 billion in the earlier month.
In the US, the MBA mortgage applications dropped 3.3% on a weekly basis in the week ended 14 August 2020, compared to a rise of 6.8% in the previous week.
Separately, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), in its July meeting minutes, stated that the official staff member lowered its forecast for economic growth over the rest of year. Further, minutes revealed that policymakers expect to hold the key interest rates to a range of 0%-0.25% until the economy had weathered recent events and was on track to achieve the Committee’s maximum employment and price stability goals. Further, the officials agreed that the ongoing public health crisis would weigh heavily on economic activity, employment and inflation in the near term and posed considerable risks to the economic outlook over the medium term.
In the Asian session, at GMT0300, the pair is trading at 1.1845, with the EUR trading marginally lower against the USD from yesterday’s close.
The pair is expected to find support at 1.1800, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1756. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1920, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1996.
Going forward, traders would keep a watch on Euro-zone’s construction output for June along with Germany’s producer price index for July, slated to release in a few hours. Later in the day, the US Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey for August and initial jobless claims, would keep investors on their toes.
The currency pair is trading below its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.
